Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack
8.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
50.0%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.9%.
Measured over 8.9K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 8.9K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 8.9K
- Best context
- 53.2% at 2000-2199 Blitz
- Worst context
- 45.3% at 2200-2499 Bullet
- Average game length
- 34 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.1%
- Draws
- 3.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 52.2% at 0-999, 57.7% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 71.3% expected score (29 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.9% expected score (77 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (99 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (34 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (174 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (321 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (60 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (480 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (1,196 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (119 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (839 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (1,721 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (160 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 71.2% expected score (15 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (1,474 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (1,420 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (69 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (416 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.6% expected score (70 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack scores 50.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.2% and 50.9% — from 8.9K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 8.9K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate?
Playing the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack, White wins 48.1%, draws 3.9% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 8.9K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack perform best?
The Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 54.2% (486 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 51.8% in Blitz (4.9K games) against 54.3% in Rapid (462 games).
How sharp is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack?
The Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 48.0%, draws 4.0% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 212 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 50.4%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 567 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 46.8%, draws 3.5% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 49.6%, draws 3.4% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 46.2%, draws 4.4% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 51.8%, draws 4.8% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 486 Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 45.5%, draws 2.6% and loses 51.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 3.5K Lichess games.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 49.5%, draws 4.6% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 4.9K Lichess games.
What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 51.5%, draws 5.5% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.3%. It rests on 462 Lichess games.
Is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack a good opening?
The Latvian Gambit Accepted: Nimzowitsch Attack is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 48.1% of its games and loses 48.1%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.