Lasker Simul Special
1 variations · 388K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · Overall
50.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.9%.
Measured over 388K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 4.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 388K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- #6 of 62
- Games in this context
- 388K
- Best context
- 54.6% at 1800-1999 UltraBullet
- Worst context
- 44.7% at 1000-1199 Rapid
- Variations measured
- 1
- Average game length
- 36 moves
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
What to play from here
Black · OverallThese are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 50.8%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.4% expected score (38 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (1,514 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (3,139 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (998 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (19 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (150 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (2,559 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (4,531 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (1,102 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (35 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (674 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (5,375 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (7,798 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (1,677 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (62 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.1% expected score (1,864 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (10,746 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (12,055 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (2,352 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (120 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (3,797 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (19,196 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (18,902 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (2,598 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (106 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (9,247 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (27,741 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (22,981 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (2,381 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (45 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.6% expected score (9,655 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (37,033 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (19,507 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (1,232 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (4,784 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (74,714 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (13,848 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (309 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (87 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (60,985 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (2,004 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
1 variations · ranked by floor
Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Lasker Simul Special family scores 50.8% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.6% and 50.9% — from 388K Lichess games across 1 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 388K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Lasker Simul Special win rate?
Across the Lasker Simul Special's 1 variations, Black wins 48.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 388K rated games from Lichess.
How many Lasker Simul Special variations are there?
1 Lasker Simul Special variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.
At what rating does the Lasker Simul Special perform best?
The Lasker Simul Special family performs best for Black at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 52.2% (62K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.
Is the Lasker Simul Special better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Lasker Simul Special scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 50.2% in Blitz (105K games) against 48.9% in Rapid (13K games).
How sharp is the Lasker Simul Special?
Lasker Simul Special games are 96.0% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 36 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
Is the Lasker Simul Special a good opening family?
The Lasker Simul Special family is about level overall. Across its games, Black wins 48.8% and loses 47.2%. Results differ between its 1 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.