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King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation

588K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 49.9%Based on 588K games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.9%3.8%48.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bg5
King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation
Analyzen=588K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 49.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 49.9%), based on 588K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~48%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.7% win rate (4,867 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.2% win rate (23,784 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.0% win rate (62,567 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (114,950 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (148,054 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.4% win rate (135,381 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (70,964 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.3% win rate (25,237 games)
  • 2500+: 49.1% win rate (2,624 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.7% win rate (165 games)
  • Bullet: 48.2% win rate (248,518 games)
  • Blitz: 47.8% win rate (279,207 games)
  • Rapid: 47.1% win rate (58,872 games)
  • Classical: 44.6% win rate (1,666 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (2,691 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (1,909 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (264 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (11,495 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (10,565 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (1,713 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (26,912 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (29,901 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (5,656 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (73 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (44,786 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (56,611 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (13,147 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (353 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (45 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (55,254 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (74,623 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (17,504 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (628 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (53,903 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (66,696 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (14,257 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (507 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (34,653 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (30,873 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (5,343 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (85 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (16,439 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (7,796 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (982 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (2,385 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (233 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 588K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (63K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.7%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 115K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 148K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 135K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 41.4%-54.1%) win rate for white (165 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.4%) win rate for white (249K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.0%) win rate for white (279K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.5%) win rate for white (59K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 42.6%-46.7%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Zinnowitz Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.