6.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 51.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.1% and 52.2%), based on 6.2K Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~48%)
Best in Rapid (50%), worst in Classical (4%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.2% win rate for white (2.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (49.4%) outperforms Rapid (50.2%) by -0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 45.6% (90% CI: 38.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 140 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 50.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 238 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 46.2% (90% CI: 42.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 471 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 47.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.0%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.9%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.
In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line has a 50.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-54.7%) win rate for white (332 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.
The King's Indian Defense: Semi-Classical Variation, Queenside Storm Line is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.