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King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System

174K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 52.9%Based on 174K games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.4%4.5%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Be3
King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System
Analyzen=174K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 52.9%), based on 174K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 57.8% win rate (136 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.5% win rate (633 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.8% win rate (2,719 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (8,329 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (17,697 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (33,119 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.7% win rate (44,705 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.8% win rate (51,074 games)
  • 2500+: 51.7% win rate (15,707 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.8% win rate (20 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (57,001 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (102,212 games)
  • Rapid: 49.6% win rate (14,230 games)
  • Classical: 51.5% win rate (656 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (73 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (252 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (328 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,375 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (1,152 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (185 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (3,456 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (4,000 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (826 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 64.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (5,089 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (10,563 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (1,912 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.0% expected score (124 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (9,712 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (19,346 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (3,830 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (229 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (11,412 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (28,976 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (4,128 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (188 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (16,771 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (31,165 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (3,075 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (62 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (8,861 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (6,629 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (213 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 174K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (2.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.4%) outperforms Classical (51.5%) by -0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System?

The King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 57.8% (90% CI: 50.8%-64.7%) win rate for white, based on 136 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 53.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 633 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate for white (57K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.1%) win rate for white (102K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.3%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-54.7%) win rate for white (656 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Semi-Averbakh System is statistically favors white with a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.