13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 50.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 51.3%), based on 13K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 20% → 51%
Best in Blitz (48%), worst in Classical (44%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.1% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (47.9%) outperforms Rapid (46.7%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 45.5% (90% CI: 38.0%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 116 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 45.6% (90% CI: 42.8%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 833 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.1%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.8%) win rate for white (8.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.
In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 43.0%-50.5%) win rate for white (483 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.
The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.