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King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation

70K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.0%Range (90% confident): 53.7% – 54.3%Based on 70K games
0%54.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.7% – 54.3%
Outcome Distribution
51.7%4.6%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nge2
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation
Analyzen=70K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.7% and 54.3%), based on 70K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.5% win rate (204 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.1% win rate (520 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.9% win rate (1,366 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (2,887 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (6,141 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.6% win rate (9,481 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.3% win rate (19,733 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.1% win rate (22,416 games)
  • 2500+: 53.6% win rate (7,268 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in UltraBullet (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.3% win rate (79 games)
  • Bullet: 52.3% win rate (33,602 games)
  • Blitz: 51.1% win rate (31,750 games)
  • Rapid: 51.5% win rate (4,340 games)
  • Classical: 54.2% win rate (245 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (97 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (77 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (226 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (234 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (579 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (657 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (120 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,268 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1,316 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (276 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (2,590 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (2,902 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (571 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (3,197 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (5,072 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (1,142 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (7,282 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (11,026 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (1,347 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (75 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (12,418 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (9,211 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.4% expected score (752 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (5,945 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (1,255 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 70K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (7.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.3%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 40.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 204 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 520 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.7%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.5%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.8%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-59.4%) win rate for white (245 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Bobotsov-Korchnoi-Petrosian Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.