TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack

1.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score53.0%Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 55.0%Based on 1.7K games
0%53.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 55.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%5.5%44.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.Bd2
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack
Analyzen=1.7K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 53.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.0% and 55.0%), based on 1.7K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 29% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 29.4% win rate (7 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (16 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.7% win rate (33 games)
  • 1400-1599: 59.2% win rate (77 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.8% win rate (172 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.9% win rate (412 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (366 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.6% win rate (550 games)
  • 2500+: 55.9% win rate (71 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in Classical (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.8% win rate (515 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (998 games)
  • Rapid: 45.0% win rate (182 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (9 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 69.2% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (52 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (95 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 34.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (121 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (227 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (60 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (73 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (181 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (348 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 77.3% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (550 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.8%) outperforms Rapid (45.0%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack?

The King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 45.8% (90% CI: 39.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 44.9% (90% CI: 40.9%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 412 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 366 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 550 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-56.4%) win rate for white (515 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-52.5%) win rate for white (998 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack has a 45.0% (90% CI: 39.0%-51.0%) win rate for white (182 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Korchnoi Attack is statistically balanced with a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.