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King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development

179K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 53.4%Based on 179K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 53.4%
Outcome Distribution
51.2%4.0%44.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Be2
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development
Analyzen=179K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.0% and 53.4%), based on 179K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.0% win rate (236 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.6% win rate (963 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.0% win rate (3,679 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (10,974 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.9% win rate (24,706 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.4% win rate (45,146 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (51,285 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.6% win rate (36,152 games)
  • 2500+: 53.7% win rate (5,897 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in UltraBullet (38%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.1% win rate (68 games)
  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (55,490 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (102,686 games)
  • Rapid: 50.8% win rate (19,944 games)
  • Classical: 50.1% win rate (850 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (127 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (79 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (431 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (439 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (92 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (1,406 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (1,823 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (446 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (3,486 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (5,943 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,483 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (6,624 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (14,668 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (3,240 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (144 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (11,166 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (27,572 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (6,016 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (387 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (12,733 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (32,244 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (6,069 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (237 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (15,560 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (18,060 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (2,487 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (3,957 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (1,858 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 179K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (5.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (38.1%) by 15.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development?

The King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 52.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 236 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 963 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.5%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white (103K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.4%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-52.9%) win rate for white (850 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Standard Development is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.