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King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto

37K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.5%Based on 37K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
48.6%4.7%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.g3
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto
Analyzen=37K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 51.5%), based on 37K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.6% win rate (232 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.0% win rate (670 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.4% win rate (1,674 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (3,428 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.3% win rate (6,961 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.4% win rate (10,165 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (9,217 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.8% win rate (4,123 games)
  • 2500+: 53.2% win rate (392 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in UltraBullet (23%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 23.1% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 49.7% win rate (9,900 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (21,233 games)
  • Rapid: 47.6% win rate (5,469 games)
  • Classical: 42.7% win rate (255 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (120 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (89 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (296 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (290 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (83 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (549 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (881 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (239 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,069 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (1,760 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (582 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,053 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (3,838 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,018 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,818 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (6,383 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (1,811 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.4% expected score (153 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,979 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (5,748 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (1,463 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,779 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (2,096 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (243 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (237 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.1% expected score (148 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 79.4% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 37K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (392 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.7%) outperforms Classical (42.7%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto?

The King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 45.6% (90% CI: 40.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 232 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 670 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.4%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 53.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 392 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.6%) win rate for white (9.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.0%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.7%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto has a 42.7% (90% CI: 37.7%-47.8%) win rate for white (255 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.