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King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation

232K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.2%Range (90% confident): 49.0% – 49.4%Based on 232K games
0%49.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.0% – 49.4%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%4.1%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Be3
King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation
Analyzen=232K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 49.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.0% and 49.4%), based on 232K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.6% win rate (1,618 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.9% win rate (7,637 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.4% win rate (20,319 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.3% win rate (39,905 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.9% win rate (55,731 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (54,683 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.4% win rate (31,608 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.5% win rate (17,256 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (3,647 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.5% win rate (127 games)
  • Bullet: 47.2% win rate (89,014 games)
  • Blitz: 47.1% win rate (112,705 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (29,534 games)
  • Classical: 45.8% win rate (1,024 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (859 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (665 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (90 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (3,629 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (3,375 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (620 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (7,692 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (10,322 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (2,247 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (12,517 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (21,221 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (5,966 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (165 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (16,768 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (29,993 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (8,559 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (372 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (18,649 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (27,447 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (8,222 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (351 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (14,934 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (13,452 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (3,135 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (11,002 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (5,575 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (667 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (2,964 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.5% expected score (655 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (28 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 232K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (3.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.2%) outperforms Classical (45.8%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-59.7%) win rate for white (127 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.4%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.4%) win rate for white (89K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.4%) win rate for white (113K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.1%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-48.3%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Larsen Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.