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King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack

48K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.9%Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 52.2%Based on 48K games
0%51.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 52.2%
Outcome Distribution
48.7%6.2%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Be2
King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack
Analyzen=48K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 52.2%), based on 48K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.0% win rate (28 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.4% win rate (110 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (524 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (2,034 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (9,131 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (17,881 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.3% win rate (15,083 games)
  • 2500+: 50.4% win rate (3,557 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 50.2% win rate (16,052 games)
  • Blitz: 48.4% win rate (29,144 games)
  • Rapid: 43.9% win rate (3,048 games)
  • Classical: 43.7% win rate (105 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (222 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (254 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (737 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (1,170 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (2,149 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (6,272 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (661 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (4,322 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (12,010 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,504 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (5,632 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (8,756 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (691 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (2,910 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (627 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (20 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 48K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.2%) outperforms Classical (43.7%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack?

The King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-61.1%) win rate for white, based on 110 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 47.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 524 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.9%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.9%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-45.4%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack has a 43.7% (90% CI: 35.9%-51.6%) win rate for white (105 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.7%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Normal Attack is statistically balanced with a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.