211 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Korchnoi Line has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.8% and 58.0%), based on 211 Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 56% → 52%
Best in Bullet (53%), worst in Rapid (26%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1800-1999 | — | — | — | ||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Korchnoi Line has a 48.7% (90% CI: 43.1%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 211 rated games from Lichess.
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Korchnoi Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (53 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (52.9%) outperforms Blitz (48.2%) by 4.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Korchnoi Line has a sharpness score of 92.7 (decisive), meaning 92.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 42 moves.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Korchnoi Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 40.1%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.
In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Korchnoi Line has a 48.2% (90% CI: 40.8%-55.6%) win rate for white (122 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Korchnoi Line is slightly favors black with a 48.7% (90% CI: 43.1%-54.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.