TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky)

42K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.9%Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 49.3%Based on 42K games
0%48.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 49.3%
Outcome Distribution
45.9%6.0%48.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Bf5
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky)
Analyzen=42K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 48.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.5% and 49.3%), based on 42K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.6% win rate (66 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.4% win rate (223 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.5% win rate (516 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (1,025 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.0% win rate (1,668 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.0% win rate (3,533 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.1% win rate (8,609 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.0% win rate (17,921 games)
  • 2500+: 49.7% win rate (7,964 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Blitz (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.8% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (18,920 games)
  • Blitz: 44.4% win rate (20,459 games)
  • Rapid: 45.5% win rate (2,041 games)
  • Classical: 53.7% win rate (100 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (82 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (95 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (185 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (246 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (84 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (276 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (563 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (170 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (491 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (857 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (295 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,054 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (1,980 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (464 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (2,689 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (5,379 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (524 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (7,813 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (9,686 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (415 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (6,313 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (1,618 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 42K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.7% win rate for white (8.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.5%) outperforms Rapid (45.5%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky)?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 51.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 223 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.9%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 516 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.6%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.2%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.1%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.0%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 45.5% (90% CI: 43.7%-47.3%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) has a 53.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-61.8%) win rate for white (100 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Lesser Simagin (Spassky) is statistically balanced with a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.