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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation

90K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.6%Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 51.8%Based on 90K games
0%51.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 51.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.7%5.7%45.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.e4
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation
Analyzen=90K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.7%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 51.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.3% and 51.8%), based on 90K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (36 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.5% win rate (156 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.7% win rate (529 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.4% win rate (1,446 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (3,928 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.6% win rate (11,003 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (23,199 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.8% win rate (35,445 games)
  • 2500+: 48.9% win rate (14,029 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.1% win rate (109 games)
  • Bullet: 48.8% win rate (37,495 games)
  • Blitz: 48.3% win rate (45,968 games)
  • Rapid: 50.7% win rate (5,897 games)
  • Classical: 47.3% win rate (302 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 72.5% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (246 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (217 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (569 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (670 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (181 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,302 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (2,126 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (448 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.6% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (2,869 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (6,703 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (1,278 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.0% expected score (115 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (6,651 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (14,456 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (1,958 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.5% expected score (116 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (15,849 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (17,742 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (1,819 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (9,927 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (3,969 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (130 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 90K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.7%) outperforms Classical (47.3%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 156 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 529 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 43.3%-58.9%) win rate for white (109 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.2%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.7%) win rate for white (46K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.8%) win rate for white (5.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 42.6%-52.0%) win rate for white (302 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.