1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 49.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 51.9%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 69% → 53%
Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Rapid (44%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (71 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (49.7%) outperforms Rapid (44.3%) by 5.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 45.6% (90% CI: 39.3%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 164 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 44.3% (90% CI: 39.8%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 325 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 46.5% (90% CI: 42.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 447 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 42.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 401 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-53.9%) win rate for white (370 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 46.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-48.7%) win rate for white (969 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.
In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense has a 44.3% (90% CI: 38.7%-50.0%) win rate for white (205 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.
The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense is slightly favors black with a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-48.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.