TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score53.3%Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.8%Based on 25K games
0%53.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.8%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%5.3%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.d5
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
Analyzen=25K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 53.8%), based on 25K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 59% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 58.6% win rate (13 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.4% win rate (55 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.1% win rate (278 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (707 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (1,453 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (3,417 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (7,684 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.7% win rate (9,283 games)
  • 2500+: 54.7% win rate (2,466 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in Classical (48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.8% win rate (7,307 games)
  • Blitz: 50.0% win rate (16,175 games)
  • Rapid: 47.8% win rate (1,767 games)
  • Classical: 47.5% win rate (107 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (119 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (138 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (264 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (360 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (80 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (453 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (797 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (188 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (888 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (2,191 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (301 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (37 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (1,683 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (5,292 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (672 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (2,154 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (6,629 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (486 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (1,722 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (731 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Flexible Defense
52.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.7% win rate for white (2.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.8%) outperforms Classical (47.5%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 278 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 707 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.0%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.7%) win rate for white (7.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.6%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.7%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 39.6%-55.3%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.7%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.