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King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation

248K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.6%Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 51.8%Based on 248K games
0%51.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 51.8%
Outcome Distribution
49.7%3.7%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bg5
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
Analyzen=248K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 51.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.4% and 51.8%), based on 248K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (1,731 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.5% win rate (8,109 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.7% win rate (21,599 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.2% win rate (41,905 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.8% win rate (58,424 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.1% win rate (61,780 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.8% win rate (36,752 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.3% win rate (16,199 games)
  • 2500+: 55.2% win rate (1,043 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.3% win rate (63 games)
  • Bullet: 50.6% win rate (78,731 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (136,711 games)
  • Rapid: 47.4% win rate (31,091 games)
  • Classical: 46.5% win rate (946 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (822 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (813 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (95 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (3,317 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (4,105 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (675 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (7,819 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (11,346 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (2,399 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (13,151 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (22,905 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (5,655 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (162 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (14,992 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (34,018 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (9,024 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.9% expected score (381 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (17,201 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (35,537 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (8,727 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (310 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (11,870 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (21,015 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (3,810 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (8,702 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (6,806 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (687 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (857 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (166 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Flexible Defense
52.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 248K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (16K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.3%) by 3.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 52.7%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white (79K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate for white (137K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.9%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 43.8%-49.2%) win rate for white (946 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.