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King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation

8.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.1%Range (90% confident): 54.2% – 56.0%Based on 8.4K games
0%55.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.2% – 56.0%
Outcome Distribution
51.7%6.7%41.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.b4
King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation
Analyzen=8.4K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.7%

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 55.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.2% and 56.0%), based on 8.4K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.2% win rate (25 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.1% win rate (16 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.2% win rate (21 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.7% win rate (70 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (253 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (1,029 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (3,400 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.7% win rate (2,662 games)
  • 2500+: 58.2% win rate (909 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (53%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 51.9% win rate (1,485 games)
  • Blitz: 51.6% win rate (6,209 games)
  • Rapid: 52.8% win rate (649 games)
  • Classical: 47.0% win rate (40 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 26.5% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (65 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (855 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (89 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (410 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (2,781 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (191 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (343 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (2,027 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (292 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.0% expected score (601 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.2% expected score (285 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (23 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Attack
51.3%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Attack: Double Fianchetto
49.3%
King's Indian Attack: French Variation
51.7%
King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation
51.7%
King's Indian Attack: Omega-Delta Gambit
52.2%
King's Indian Attack: Pachman System
48.5%
Analyze King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 58.2% win rate for white (909 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.6%) outperforms Rapid (52.8%) by -1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation?

The King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a sharpness score of 93.3 (decisive), meaning 93.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 253 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 48.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 58.2% (90% CI: 55.5%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 909 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-54.0%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.7%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-56.0%) win rate for white (649 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.0%.

Is the King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.