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Analyzer

King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense

145K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score44.7%Range (90% confident): 44.5% – 44.9%Based on 145K games
0%44.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.5% – 44.9%
Outcome Distribution
43.3%2.6%54.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...f5
King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense
Analyzen=145K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 44.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.5% and 44.9%), based on 145K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.1% win rate (1,704 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.7% win rate (4,253 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.9% win rate (8,708 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.7% win rate (16,930 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.1% win rate (29,440 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.5% win rate (42,176 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.0% win rate (29,439 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.4% win rate (11,031 games)
  • 2500+: 43.3% win rate (1,163 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Blitz (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.9% win rate (63 games)
  • Bullet: 44.0% win rate (55,922 games)
  • Blitz: 42.7% win rate (76,885 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (11,723 games)
  • Classical: 45.0% win rate (251 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (890 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (626 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (183 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,109 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (1,702 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (430 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (3,624 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (4,142 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (914 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (6,399 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (8,751 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (1,707 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (10,109 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (16,946 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (2,299 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.2% expected score (72 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (14,445 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (24,164 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (3,490 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (11,404 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (15,666 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (2,340 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (6,048 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (4,621 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (358 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (894 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (267 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Euwe Attack
56.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rotlewi Countergambit
47.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit
48.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Walthoffen Attack
53.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 43.3% (90% CI: 43.1%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 145K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 50.7% win rate for white (4.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.0%) outperforms Classical (45.0%) by -1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense?

The King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.1%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 41.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-41.9%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 40.0% (90% CI: 39.5%-40.5%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 42.4% (90% CI: 41.6%-43.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 43.3% (90% CI: 40.9%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.3%) win rate for white (56K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 42.7% (90% CI: 42.4%-43.0%) win rate for white (77K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 44.2% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.9%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense has a 45.0% (90% CI: 39.8%-50.1%) win rate for white (251 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Miles Defense is slightly favors black with a 43.3% (90% CI: 43.1%-43.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.