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King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation

122K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.3%Range (90% confident): 50.1% – 50.6%Based on 122K games
0%50.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.1% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%3.0%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nc3
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation
Analyzen=122K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 50.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.1% and 50.6%), based on 122K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.7% win rate (2,915 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.5% win rate (4,400 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.1% win rate (7,553 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.8% win rate (14,116 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.0% win rate (28,758 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (36,803 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (20,651 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (6,191 games)
  • 2500+: 50.1% win rate (690 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.4% win rate (836 games)
  • Bullet: 49.7% win rate (38,780 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (64,506 games)
  • Rapid: 47.3% win rate (17,532 games)
  • Classical: 47.2% win rate (423 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (649 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (1,495 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (765 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (1,034 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (2,228 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,098 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (77 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (2,243 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (3,580 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (1,613 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (40 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.2% expected score (206 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (3,921 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (7,297 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (2,591 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (101 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (7,484 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (16,596 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (4,181 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (176 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (135 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (8,890 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (22,872 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (4,828 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (8,982 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (9,347 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (2,271 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (4,917 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,070 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (184 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (660 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Euwe Attack
56.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rotlewi Countergambit
47.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit
48.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Walthoffen Attack
53.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 122K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (21K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.4%) outperforms Classical (47.2%) by 6.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 690 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-56.3%) win rate for white (836 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.1%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.0%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.9%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 43.3%-51.2%) win rate for white (423 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.