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Analyzer

King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit

14K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.9%Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 48.6%Based on 14K games
0%47.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 48.6%
Outcome Distribution
46.6%2.6%50.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Bc5
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit
Analyzen=14K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 47.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 48.6%), based on 14K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.5 · Trap factor: -16.1 · n=14K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 61%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.6% win rate (115 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.8% win rate (375 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.1% win rate (1,063 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.6% win rate (2,553 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.9% win rate (4,134 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.8% win rate (3,637 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.8% win rate (1,323 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.2% win rate (545 games)
  • 2500+: 60.8% win rate (24 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Bullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.5% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 43.8% win rate (2,917 games)
  • Blitz: 47.3% win rate (8,410 games)
  • Rapid: 47.1% win rate (2,373 games)
  • Classical: 55.4% win rate (59 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (71 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.3% expected score (183 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (156 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (395 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (568 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (94 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (509 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,670 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (359 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (707 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (2,594 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (811 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (433 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (2,365 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (818 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (301 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (803 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (217 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.2% expected score (304 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (214 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 76.1% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Euwe Attack
56.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rotlewi Countergambit
47.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit
48.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Walthoffen Attack
53.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 48.6% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.3%) outperforms Bullet (43.8%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 40.1%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 375 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.5%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 42.2% (90% CI: 38.7%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 545 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.3%-45.3%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.2%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.7%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.