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King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit

78K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.0%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.3%Based on 78K games
0%50.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.3%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%3.5%48.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.d4
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit
Analyzen=78K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 50.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 50.3%), based on 78K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +4.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.1% win rate (4,273 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.1% win rate (4,091 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (5,084 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.2% win rate (7,570 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (14,162 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (23,023 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (14,469 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (5,166 games)
  • 2500+: 53.7% win rate (361 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.7% win rate (472 games)
  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (19,955 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (44,377 games)
  • Rapid: 47.0% win rate (12,707 games)
  • Classical: 45.9% win rate (688 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (917 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (2,198 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (1,112 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 65.2% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (766 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (1,968 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (1,279 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (1,223 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (2,518 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (1,252 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (52 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (141 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (1,939 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (4,012 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (1,379 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (186 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (3,419 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (8,356 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (2,041 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (160 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (5,846 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (13,647 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (3,199 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (311 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (3,514 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (8,880 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (2,050 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 66.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (2,145 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (2,629 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (389 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (186 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (169 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Euwe Attack
56.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rotlewi Countergambit
47.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit
48.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Walthoffen Attack
53.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 78K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (361 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.4%) outperforms Classical (45.9%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 43.1% (90% CI: 41.8%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.9%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 361 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 44.9%-52.5%) win rate for white (472 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.0%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.4%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.7%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 42.8%-49.0%) win rate for white (688 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.