7.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 48.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 49.9%), based on 7.2K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 45% → 54%
Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (42%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 49.2% win rate for white (2.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (48.2%) outperforms Rapid (45.3%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 45.6% (90% CI: 40.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 208 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 42.6% (90% CI: 39.6%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 701 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 43.8% (90% CI: 41.9%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 50.7% (90% CI: 46.9%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 471 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.2%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-48.3%) win rate for white (4.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line has a 45.3% (90% CI: 42.5%-48.2%) win rate for white (820 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line is slightly favors black with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.