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King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation

2.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score53.3%Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 54.9%Based on 2.4K games
0%53.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 54.9%
Outcome Distribution
51.3%3.8%44.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nd2
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation
Analyzen=2.4K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 54.9%), based on 2.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +3.2% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 78% → 46%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 77.8% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.2% win rate (21 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.7% win rate (314 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (618 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.0% win rate (904 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.8% win rate (490 games)
  • 2500+: 45.6% win rate (50 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (73%), worst in Rapid (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (844 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (1,398 games)
  • Rapid: 46.7% win rate (158 games)
  • Classical: 73.3% win rate (6 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 66.5% expected score (141 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (151 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (244 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (329 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (251 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (584 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (69 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (152 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (313 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Euwe Attack
56.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rotlewi Countergambit
47.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit
48.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Walthoffen Attack
53.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (904 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.2%) outperforms Rapid (46.7%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 314 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 618 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.2%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 904 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 490 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 50.3%-56.0%) win rate for white (844 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-52.8%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 40.3%-53.2%) win rate for white (158 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation is statistically balanced with a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.