King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack

514K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.0%Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 50.1%Based on 514K games
0%50.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%2.9%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nf3
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack
Analyzen=514K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 50.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 50.1%), based on 514K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (5,997 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.4% win rate (14,926 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (34,064 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.7% win rate (73,111 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (134,118 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (153,990 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.3% win rate (77,422 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.3% win rate (18,923 games)
  • 2500+: 46.7% win rate (987 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.0% win rate (1,127 games)
  • Bullet: 48.8% win rate (201,635 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (267,112 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (42,690 games)
  • Classical: 45.6% win rate (974 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.4% expected score (47 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,637 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (2,455 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (856 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (78 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (7,683 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (5,601 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (1,542 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (190 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (16,592 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (14,343 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (2,877 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.5% expected score (378 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (30,407 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (36,414 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (5,713 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (199 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (375 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (45,239 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (77,193 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (10,965 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (346 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (49,544 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (89,623 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (14,507 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (274 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (35,610 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (36,159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (5,584 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (13,001 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (5,264 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (643 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (922 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (60 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 514K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.6% win rate for white (34K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.8%) outperforms Classical (45.6%) by 3.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 134K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 154K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 987 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-52.5%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.9%) win rate for white (202K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.4%) win rate for white (267K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.7%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack has a 45.6% (90% CI: 42.9%-48.2%) win rate for white (974 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.