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King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit

1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.1%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 52.2%Based on 1.6K games
0%50.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 52.2%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%3.7%48.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...f5
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit
Analyzen=1.6K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 52.2%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 90.2 · Trap factor: +6.7 · n=1.6K

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~56%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.4% win rate (9 games)
  • 1200-1399: 33.3% win rate (36 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (91 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.0% win rate (267 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (510 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.3% win rate (412 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.0% win rate (225 games)
  • 2500+: 55.6% win rate (12 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in Classical (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.0% win rate (402 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (1,024 games)
  • Rapid: 49.4% win rate (133 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (6 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 28.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (85 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (162 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (93 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (339 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (75 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (97 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (284 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Euwe Attack
56.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rotlewi Countergambit
47.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Walthoffen Attack
53.1%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation
49.6%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (225 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.2%) outperforms Rapid (49.4%) by -1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 44.0%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 267 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 45.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 510 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 45.3% (90% CI: 41.3%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 412 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 45.5%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 225 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-52.0%) win rate for white (402 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-50.8%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 42.4%-56.5%) win rate for white (133 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.