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King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score48.4%Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 50.9%Based on 1.1K games
0%48.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 50.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.2%4.4%49.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...exf4
King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 48.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.9% and 50.9%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -5.5% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (12 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.2% win rate (41 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.1% win rate (113 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.4% win rate (173 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.1% win rate (197 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (165 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.8% win rate (148 games)
  • 2200-2499: 38.5% win rate (187 games)
  • 2500+: 56.9% win rate (31 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (51%), worst in Classical (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (378 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (577 games)
  • Rapid: 50.7% win rate (110 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 39.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (76 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (77 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (95 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (64 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (92 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 74.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (139 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Euwe Attack
56.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rotlewi Countergambit
47.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit
48.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Walthoffen Attack
53.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.7%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (165 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.7%) outperforms Blitz (44.9%) by 5.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 43.4%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 40.4% (90% CI: 34.4%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 173 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 43.3%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 197 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 165 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 41.1%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 148 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 38.5% (90% CI: 32.7%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (378 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 41.5%-48.3%) win rate for white (577 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 42.9%-58.4%) win rate for white (110 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Svenonius Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.7%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.