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King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation

62K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.9%Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.2%Based on 62K games
0%47.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.2%
Outcome Distribution
46.3%3.1%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.fxe5
King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation
Analyzen=62K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 47.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 48.2%), based on 62K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -3.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.6% win rate (611 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.8% win rate (1,572 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.3% win rate (4,664 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (11,274 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.9% win rate (20,050 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (17,155 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.6% win rate (5,840 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.8% win rate (1,077 games)
  • 2500+: 52.9% win rate (58 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.9% win rate (62 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (19,011 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (35,255 games)
  • Rapid: 45.6% win rate (7,753 games)
  • Classical: 41.8% win rate (220 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (281 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (228 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (97 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (856 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (584 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (120 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,994 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (2,287 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (358 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (3,711 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (6,473 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (1,048 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.6% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (5,023 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (12,542 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (2,377 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (95 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (4,144 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (9,999 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (2,937 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (71 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (2,313 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (2,753 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (759 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (656 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (364 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (57 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (25 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Euwe Attack
56.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rotlewi Countergambit
47.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Rubinstein Countergambit
48.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation, Walthoffen Attack
53.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 62K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 48.3% win rate for white (4.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.1%) outperforms Classical (41.8%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 44.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 611 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 41.8%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 45.1%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.5%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.7%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.5%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.5%) win rate for white (7.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation has a 41.8% (90% CI: 36.4%-47.2%) win rate for white (220 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Soldatenkov Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.