57K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 47.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.4% and 48.1%), based on 57K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 47% → 42%
Best in UltraBullet (81%), worst in Rapid (44%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 57K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 47.0% win rate for white (18K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (48.0%) outperforms Classical (47.2%) by 0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.8 (very decisive), meaning 97.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 522 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 46.0%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 668 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.7%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.2%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.1%-44.9%) win rate for white (8.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 41.7%-52.7%) win rate for white (222 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.