46K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 57.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.5% and 58.3%), based on 46K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 65% → 58%
Best in Bullet (61%), worst in Classical (50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 56.7% (90% CI: 56.3%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 46K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 63.3% win rate for white (2.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (61.2%) outperforms Classical (50.3%) by 10.9%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.7 (very decisive), meaning 97.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 65.2% (90% CI: 58.5%-71.6%) win rate for white, based on 142 Lichess games. Average game length is 18 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 63.8% (90% CI: 60.8%-66.7%) win rate for white, based on 725 Lichess games. Average game length is 19 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 63.3% (90% CI: 61.7%-64.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 61.7% (90% CI: 60.7%-62.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.4%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 44.0%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 349 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 61.2% (90% CI: 60.3%-62.1%) win rate for white (8.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 56.5% (90% CI: 56.0%-57.0%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.0%) win rate for white (8.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 44.9%-55.7%) win rate for white (230 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Lolli Gambit is statistically favors white with a 56.7% (90% CI: 56.3%-57.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.