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King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit

9.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score62.9%Range (90% confident): 62.1% – 63.7%Based on 9.7K games
0%62.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 62.1% – 63.7%
Outcome Distribution
61.9%1.8%36.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Bxf7+
King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit
Analyzen=9.7K
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate1.8%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 62.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 62.1% and 63.7%), based on 9.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +29.7% · Breakpoint: Never

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 98.1 · Trap factor: +23.1 · n=9.7K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.8% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.9% win rate (22 games)
  • 1200-1399: 69.9% win rate (65 games)
  • 1400-1599: 60.3% win rate (316 games)
  • 1600-1799: 66.1% win rate (1,608 games)
  • 1800-1999: 63.4% win rate (4,255 games)
  • 2000-2199: 58.9% win rate (2,729 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.8% win rate (707 games)
  • 2500+: 52.9% win rate (41 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (67%), worst in Classical (46%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 67.1% win rate (2,165 games)
  • Blitz: 61.7% win rate (6,472 games)
  • Rapid: 53.3% win rate (1,071 games)
  • Classical: 45.5% win rate (37 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 86.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 67.2% expected score (144 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (142 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 68.7% expected score (414 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 67.5% expected score (1,090 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (103 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 68.4% expected score (698 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 64.5% expected score (3,129 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (406 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 67.6% expected score (610 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (1,652 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (458 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 61.9% expected score (235 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (410 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Continuations (3)
King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit
54.0%
King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Bello Gambit
50.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Paulsen Defense
49.2%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 61.9% (90% CI: 61.1%-62.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 66.1% win rate for white (1.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (67.1%) outperforms Rapid (53.3%) by 13.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a sharpness score of 98.2 (very decisive), meaning 98.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 60.3% (90% CI: 55.8%-64.8%) win rate for white, based on 316 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 66.1% (90% CI: 64.2%-68.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 63.4% (90% CI: 62.2%-64.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 58.9% (90% CI: 57.3%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 52.7%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 707 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 67.1% (90% CI: 65.5%-68.8%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 61.7% (90% CI: 60.7%-62.7%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-55.8%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit is statistically favors white with a 61.9% (90% CI: 61.1%-62.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.