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Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation

602K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.5%Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 47.6%Based on 602K games
0%47.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 47.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.4%4.0%50.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...d6
Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation
Analyzen=602K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 47.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.3% and 47.6%), based on 602K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.7% win rate (12,052 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.9% win rate (33,264 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.6% win rate (67,404 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.1% win rate (108,066 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.2% win rate (130,887 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.6% win rate (125,620 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.1% win rate (76,496 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.6% win rate (41,578 games)
  • 2500+: 48.3% win rate (6,641 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.5% win rate (3,332 games)
  • Bullet: 45.8% win rate (313,202 games)
  • Blitz: 45.3% win rate (234,358 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (49,209 games)
  • Classical: 42.0% win rate (1,907 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (4,723 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (5,746 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (1,539 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.5% expected score (134 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (15,182 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (14,030 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (3,855 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (63 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (438 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (31,213 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (28,429 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (7,070 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (254 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.1% expected score (723 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (48,513 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (47,365 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (10,909 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.2% expected score (556 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (931 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (57,900 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (59,588 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (11,950 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (518 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (776 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (62,996 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (51,392 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (10,043 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.8% expected score (413 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (218 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (50,272 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (22,592 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (3,324 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (90 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (72 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (35,898 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (5,084 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (517 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (6,505 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (132 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
46.1%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%
Analyze Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 602K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 48.3% win rate for white (6.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (48.5%) outperforms Classical (42.0%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation?

The Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 42.7% (90% CI: 42.0%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.2%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 108K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 131K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 126K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 76K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.9%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.6%-45.9%) win rate for white (313K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 45.1%-45.4%) win rate for white (234K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.5%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a 42.0% (90% CI: 40.2%-43.9%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

Is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-45.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.