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Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.2%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.9%Based on 11K games
0%51.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.9%
Outcome Distribution
49.2%4.0%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qc2
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 51.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 51.9%), based on 11K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.5% win rate (52 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.3% win rate (187 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.5% win rate (491 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.7% win rate (1,196 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.1% win rate (2,399 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (3,094 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (2,625 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.8% win rate (1,121 games)
  • 2500+: 47.8% win rate (102 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (51%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (2,360 games)
  • Blitz: 48.9% win rate (7,014 games)
  • Rapid: 51.4% win rate (1,784 games)
  • Classical: 44.2% win rate (106 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (93 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (75 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (198 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (239 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (349 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (644 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.4% expected score (196 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (468 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (1,431 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (466 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (448 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (2,021 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (575 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (411 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,818 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (389 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (313 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (716 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (89 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
46.1%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%
Analyze Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.4%) outperforms Classical (44.2%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 46.3%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 491 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 42.8% (90% CI: 40.4%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 39.8%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.7%-50.1%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.9%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.3%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 36.4%-52.1%) win rate for white (106 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz-Steiner Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.