12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 50.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 50.7%), based on 12K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 38% → 52%
Best in Classical (56%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.
The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (49.8%) outperforms Blitz (47.2%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 43.8% (90% CI: 36.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 107 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 0.5% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 45.4% (90% CI: 40.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 621 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.3%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.7%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.1%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.8%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.
The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Alekhine Variation, Tartakower Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.