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Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation

108K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.9%Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.1%Based on 108K games
0%47.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%3.4%50.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.d5
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
Analyzen=108K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 47.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 48.1%), based on 108K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.4% win rate (6,680 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.5% win rate (12,788 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.9% win rate (16,874 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.1% win rate (21,642 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.5% win rate (20,466 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.9% win rate (15,925 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.7% win rate (8,935 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (3,928 games)
  • 2500+: 46.6% win rate (818 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (48%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.9% win rate (3,943 games)
  • Bullet: 47.2% win rate (39,471 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (46,610 games)
  • Rapid: 43.9% win rate (17,524 games)
  • Classical: 40.7% win rate (508 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (1,813 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (3,710 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (1,144 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (3,302 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (6,606 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (2,820 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (81 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (4,729 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (8,069 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (3,881 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (114 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 43.3% expected score (1,194 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (6,818 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (9,810 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (3,642 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (178 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.1% expected score (708 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (6,699 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (9,324 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (3,616 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (119 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (968 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (6,723 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (6,183 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (2,003 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (744 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (5,322 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (2,492 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (371 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (208 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (3,300 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (370 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (765 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (46 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%
Indian Defense: Anti-Nimzo-Indian
50.6%
Analyze Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 108K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.4% win rate for white (3.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.2%) outperforms Classical (40.7%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.4%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.7%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 818 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.2%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.6%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.4%) win rate for white (47K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.5%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation has a 40.7% (90% CI: 37.2%-44.3%) win rate for white (508 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.