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Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score53.8%Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 56.2%Based on 1.1K games
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 56.2%
Outcome Distribution
52.0%3.5%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.b3
Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.3% and 56.2%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -0.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.6% win rate (114 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.9% win rate (139 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.1% win rate (157 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (205 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (248 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.5% win rate (122 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.5% win rate (87 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.3% win rate (47 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (6 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (55%), worst in Classical (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 54.9% win rate (513 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (485 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (124 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (57 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.6% expected score (76 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (84 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (96 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.4% expected score (73 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (161 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 24.2% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (52 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Hungarian Opening
50.0%
Variations (5)
Hungarian Opening: Bücker Gambit
46.6%
Hungarian Opening: Burk Gambit
51.0%
Hungarian Opening: Catalan Formation
51.2%
Hungarian Opening: Dutch Defense
51.0%
Hungarian Opening: Indian Defense
49.4%
Analyze Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate?

The Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit perform best?

The Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.9% win rate for white (139 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.9%) outperforms Rapid (48.2%) by 6.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit?

The Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 43.0%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 114 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 49.0%-62.7%) win rate for white, based on 139 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 45.5%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 157 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 44.4%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 205 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 248 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 55.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-62.7%) win rate for white, based on 122 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 54.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-58.5%) win rate for white (513 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-53.6%) win rate for white (485 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 40.9%-55.5%) win rate for white (124 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

Is the Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit a good opening?

The Hungarian Opening: Winterberg Gambit is statistically balanced with a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-54.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.