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Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation

222K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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4.Qd5
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

51.4%

45%55%
Floor51.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.6%.

Measured over 222K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 222K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
222K
Best context
56.8% at 2000-2199 Rapid
Worst context
44.1% at 1000-1199 Rapid
Average game length
33 moves
Games that end decisively
95.7%
Draws
4.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.1% · Classical best · Bullet worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.0% at 0-999, 53.4% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (1,622 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (1,519 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (486 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (3,938 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (4,125 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (1,217 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (7,776 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (12,221 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (3,117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (11,954 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (24,974 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (6,424 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.0% expected score (170 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (14,398 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (31,132 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (8,942 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.1% expected score (302 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (15,798 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (28,127 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (7,553 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (177 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (11,473 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (12,204 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (1,977 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (7,239 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (2,287 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (196 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (772 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Englund Gambit
49.1%
Variations (5)
Englund Gambit: Hartlaub-Charlick Gambit
47.5%
Englund Gambit: Main Line
48.0%
Englund Gambit: Soller Gambit
50.3%
Englund Gambit: Felbecker Gambit
51.5%
Englund Gambit: Soller Gambit Deferred
50.4%
Analyze Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation scores 51.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.3% and 51.6% — from 222K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
222K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate?

Playing the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation, White wins 49.2%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 222K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation perform best?

The Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 55.2% (832 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 52.4% in Blitz (117K games) against 54.1% in Rapid (30K games).

How sharp is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation?

The Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 44.7%, draws 2.9% and loses 52.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 3.6K Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 46.4%, draws 2.9% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 9.3K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 48.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.2%. It rests on 23K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 49.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 44K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 50.0%, draws 4.4% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 55K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 49.2%, draws 4.8% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 52K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 49.2%, draws 4.8% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 26K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 49.2%, draws 5.1% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 9.7K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 52.5%, draws 5.5% and loses 42.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.2%. It rests on 832 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 47.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 75K Lichess games.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 50.0%, draws 4.7% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 117K Lichess games.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 51.6%, draws 5.0% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.1%. It rests on 30K Lichess games.

What is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 57.1%, draws 5.8% and loses 37.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.0%. It rests on 751 Lichess games.

Is the Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation a good opening?

The Englund Gambit: Stockholm Variation is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 49.2% of its games and loses 46.5%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.