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Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe

244K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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3.Ne5
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.0%

40%55%
Floor46.8%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.2%.

Measured over 244K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 244K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
244K
Best context
55.4% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
Worst context
42.5% at 1400-1599 Rapid
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
97.4%
Draws
2.6%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.7% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 44.5% at 0-999, 54.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (6,388 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (11,940 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (5,939 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (57 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (131 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (9,960 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (13,116 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (6,434 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.7% expected score (117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (347 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (13,360 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (14,990 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (6,473 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (218 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (526 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (17,227 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (17,344 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (5,621 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (324 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (632 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (22,278 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (16,167 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (3,080 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (118 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.1% expected score (989 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (21,530 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (11,729 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (1,472 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 32.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (546 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (17,667 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (4,412 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (282 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (197 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (10,211 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (679 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (1,738 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Englund Gambit Declined
48.4%
Variations (5)
Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed French
49.7%
Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Alekhine
50.1%
Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Krebs
47.3%
Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Brooklyn
48.0%
Englund Gambit Declined: Diemer Counterattack
37.3%
Analyze Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe scores 47.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.8% and 47.2% — from 244K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
244K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate?

Playing the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe, White wins 45.7%, draws 2.6% and loses 51.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 244K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe perform best?

The Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 51.8% (1.7K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 46.4% in Blitz (90K games) against 44.9% in Rapid (29K games).

How sharp is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe?

The Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 44.1%, draws 3.1% and loses 52.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.7%. It rests on 24K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 45.1%, draws 2.6% and loses 52.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 30K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 44.8%, draws 2.4% and loses 52.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.0%. It rests on 35K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 44.4%, draws 2.2% and loses 53.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 41K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 46.6%, draws 2.3% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 42K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 46.8%, draws 2.6% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 36K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 47.4%, draws 2.9% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 23K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 47.5%, draws 3.4% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 49.6%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 50.1%, draws 1.5% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 46.9%, draws 1.9% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 120K Lichess games.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 44.8%, draws 3.2% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 90K Lichess games.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 43.0%, draws 3.8% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 29K Lichess games.

What is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 38.4%, draws 5.0% and loses 56.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.9%. It rests on 864 Lichess games.

Is the Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe a good opening?

The Englund Gambit Declined: Reversed Mokele Mbembe is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 45.7% of its games and loses 51.7%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.