TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian

99K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 48.0%Based on 99K games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 48.0%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%4.2%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...c5
English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian
Analyzen=99K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 47.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 48.0%), based on 99K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.7% win rate (1,253 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (3,042 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.7% win rate (5,776 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.3% win rate (10,887 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.7% win rate (17,731 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.8% win rate (23,859 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.4% win rate (22,111 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.3% win rate (12,893 games)
  • 2500+: 42.4% win rate (1,725 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (46%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.1% win rate (113 games)
  • Bullet: 45.9% win rate (41,425 games)
  • Blitz: 45.3% win rate (48,393 games)
  • Rapid: 46.3% win rate (8,994 games)
  • Classical: 43.1% win rate (352 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (318 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (648 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (280 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (851 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (1,526 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (591 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (1,887 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (2,922 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (914 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (4,167 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (5,232 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1,378 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (94 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (6,537 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (9,106 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (1,965 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (111 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (8,787 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (12,932 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (2,083 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (9,797 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (10,946 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (1,331 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (7,751 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (4,697 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (441 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (1,330 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (384 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 34.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate?

The English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 99K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian perform best?

The English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (22K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Rapid (48.4%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian?

The English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 55.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-63.0%) win rate for white (113 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.4%.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.4%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.1%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.2%) win rate for white (9.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian has a 53.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-57.4%) win rate for white (352 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian a good opening?

The English Opening: Mikenas-Carls, Sicilian is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.