741 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 37.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 34.9% and 40.8%), based on 741 Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 36% → 20%
Best in Bullet (44%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | ||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 61.3% (90% CI: 58.4%-64.3%) win rate for white, based on 741 rated games from Lichess.
The English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 65.5% win rate for white (152 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (67.4%) outperforms Bullet (55.6%) by 11.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a sharpness score of 98.3 (very decisive), meaning 98.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 55.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-63.0%) win rate for white, based on 118 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 65.5% (90% CI: 59.1%-71.6%) win rate for white, based on 152 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 64.1% (90% CI: 58.4%-69.6%) win rate for white, based on 196 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 58.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-64.6%) win rate for white, based on 154 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 55.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-62.8%) win rate for white (127 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.4%.
In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 59.1% (90% CI: 54.9%-63.1%) win rate for white (387 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit has a 67.4% (90% CI: 62.0%-72.6%) win rate for white (210 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.
The English Opening: King's English, Erbenheimer Gambit is statistically favors white with a 61.3% (90% CI: 58.4%-64.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.