English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit
9.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
52.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.9%.
Measured over 9.9K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 9.9K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 9.9K
- Best context
- 58.1% at 2200-2499 Bullet
- Worst context
- 48.2% at 1800-1999 Blitz
- Average game length
- 31 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.1%
- Draws
- 3.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 49.8% at 0-999, 60.3% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (81 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (159 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (85 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.2% expected score (126 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (185 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (65 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (184 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (258 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (98 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (317 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (473 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (137 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (321 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (867 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (206 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (668 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (1,118 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (315 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.3% expected score (31 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (735 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (1,217 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (261 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (588 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (930 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (189 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.8% expected score (140 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (36 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit scores 52.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.3% and 52.9% — from 9.9K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 9.9K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate?
Playing the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit, White wins 50.1%, draws 3.9% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 9.9K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit perform best?
The English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 62.4% (176 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 51.9% in Blitz (5.2K games) against 51.2% in Rapid (1.4K games).
How sharp is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit?
The English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 48.4%, draws 6.8% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 328 Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 45.2%, draws 4.1% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 378 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 49.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 563 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 48.8%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 949 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 47.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 47.8%, draws 3.7% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 52.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 43.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 53.0%, draws 4.8% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 59.4%, draws 5.9% and loses 34.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.4%. It rests on 176 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 51.7%, draws 2.4% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 49.6%, draws 4.5% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 5.2K Lichess games.
What is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 48.7%, draws 5.0% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games.
Is the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit a good opening?
The English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense, Hickmann Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 50.1% of its games and loses 46.0%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.