857K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 47.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 47.4%), based on 857K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 45% → 40%
Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Rapid (44%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 857K rated games from Lichess.
The English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.4% win rate for white (13K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (50.8%) outperforms Classical (49.0%) by 1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 96K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 165K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 218K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 181K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 100K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-54.0%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.
In Bullet games, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.9%) win rate for white (335K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
In Blitz games, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.7%) win rate for white (435K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
In Rapid games, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.7%) win rate for white (82K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
In Classical games, the English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.3%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.
The English Opening: Anglo-Dutch Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.