Döry Defense
1 variations · 54K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · Overall
46.6%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.0%.
Measured over 54K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the ranked list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 54K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- #53 of 62
- Games in this context
- 54K
- Best context
- 55.7% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
- Worst context
- 38.3% at 1200-1399 Rapid
- Variations measured
- 1
- Average game length
- 32 moves
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
What to play from here
Black · OverallThese are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.4% at 0-999, 52.7% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (1,868 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (3,643 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (1,853 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.4% expected score (20 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 60.1% expected score (63 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (1,981 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (2,991 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (1,340 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (52 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.8% expected score (248 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (2,212 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (2,607 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (1,001 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (111 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (949 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (3,916 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (2,152 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.7% expected score (607 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.5% expected score (98 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (1,978 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (4,844 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (2,014 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (430 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (36 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (2,002 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (5,153 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (1,162 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (304 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.0% expected score (747 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (3,062 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (1,066 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 38.6% expected score (182 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (158 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (1,471 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (641 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (86 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (421 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.1% expected score (21 games)
1 variations · ranked by floor
Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Döry Defense family scores 46.6% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.3% and 47.0% — from 54K Lichess games across 1 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 54K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Döry Defense win rate?
Across the Döry Defense's 1 variations, Black wins 45.0%, draws 3.2% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 54K rated games from Lichess.
How many Döry Defense variations are there?
1 Döry Defense variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.
At what rating does the Döry Defense perform best?
The Döry Defense family performs best for Black at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 55.2% (445 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.
Is the Döry Defense better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Döry Defense scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 44.9% in Blitz (16K games) against 42.8% in Rapid (5.8K games).
How sharp is the Döry Defense?
Döry Defense games are 96.8% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 32 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
Is the Döry Defense a good opening family?
The Döry Defense family is hard work for Black — it favours White overall. Across its games, Black wins 45.0% and loses 51.8%. Results differ between its 1 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.