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Analyzer

Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation

1.6M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.1%Range (90% confident): 54.0% – 54.1%Based on 1.6M games
0%54.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.0% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
52.3%3.5%44.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qe3
Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation
Analyzen=1.6M
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 54.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.0% and 54.1%), based on 1.6M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.8% win rate (94,839 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.8% win rate (236,536 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.7% win rate (325,712 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.5% win rate (336,049 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.5% win rate (279,520 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.2% win rate (204,837 games)
  • 2000-2199: 58.4% win rate (98,068 games)
  • 2200-2499: 58.2% win rate (33,204 games)
  • 2500+: 57.4% win rate (3,439 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.0% win rate (285 games)
  • Bullet: 54.2% win rate (340,176 games)
  • Blitz: 52.4% win rate (948,297 games)
  • Rapid: 50.0% win rate (312,725 games)
  • Classical: 48.2% win rate (10,721 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (24,589 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (57,777 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (12,387 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 33.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 66.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (47,402 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (146,263 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (42,340 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (477 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 63.8% expected score (89 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (58,624 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (191,172 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (73,613 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (2,214 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (58,609 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (196,374 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (77,276 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (3,729 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (55,217 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (162,355 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (59,056 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (2,871 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (47,662 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (121,838 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (34,246 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (1,081 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (29,932 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 61.0% expected score (56,025 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (11,842 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.1% expected score (265 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (15,380 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.5% expected score (15,838 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.1% expected score (1,944 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 72.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (2,761 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (655 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Center Game
53.6%
Variations (5)
Center Game: Berger Variation
50.7%
Center Game: Charousek Variation
46.8%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit
51.1%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation
47.6%
Center Game: Hall Variation
48.4%
Analyze Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate?

The Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation perform best?

The Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 58.4% win rate for white (98K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.2%) outperforms Classical (48.2%) by 6.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation?

The Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 95K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 237K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 326K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 336K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.3%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 280K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 57.2% (90% CI: 57.1%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 205K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 58.4% (90% CI: 58.1%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 98K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 58.2% (90% CI: 57.7%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.0%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-59.8%) win rate for white (285 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.2%.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.0%-54.3%) win rate for white (340K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.5%) win rate for white (948K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white (313K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.9%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation a good opening?

The Center Game: Paulsen Attack Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.