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Analyzer

Center Game: l'Hermet Variation

2.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.3%Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 50.8%Based on 2.9K games
0%49.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 50.8%
Outcome Distribution
47.3%3.9%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...f5
Center Game: l'Hermet Variation
Analyzen=2.9K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 49.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 50.8%), based on 2.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 93.8 · Trap factor: +5.9 · n=2.9K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.4% win rate (271 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.1% win rate (523 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.2% win rate (538 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (420 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.9% win rate (355 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.4% win rate (308 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.4% win rate (266 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.0% win rate (157 games)
  • 2500+: 45.9% win rate (41 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in Blitz (45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (1,133 games)
  • Blitz: 44.7% win rate (1,352 games)
  • Rapid: 48.6% win rate (386 games)
  • Classical: 57.9% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (71 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (153 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (158 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (277 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (87 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (154 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (277 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (103 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (127 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (212 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (78 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (147 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (166 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (165 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (126 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (191 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (66 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (85 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (69 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Center Game
53.6%
Variations (5)
Center Game: Berger Variation
50.7%
Center Game: Charousek Variation
46.8%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit
51.1%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation
47.6%
Center Game: Hall Variation
48.4%
Analyze Center Game: l'Hermet Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate?

The Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation perform best?

The Center Game: l'Hermet Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 49.1% win rate for white (523 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.8%) outperforms Blitz (44.7%) by 5.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation?

The Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 44.4%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 271 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 45.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 523 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 43.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 538 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 41.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 420 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 41.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 355 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 40.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 308 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 43.4%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 266 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 40.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 157 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-52.2%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 42.5%-47.0%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 44.5%-52.8%) win rate for white (386 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Center Game: l'Hermet Variation a good opening?

The Center Game: l'Hermet Variation is slightly favors black with a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.