Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit

49K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.0%Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 55.4%Based on 49K games

0%55.0%100%

Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 55.4%

Outcome Distribution

53.5%2.9%43.6%

Win

Draw

Loss

4.c3

Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit

Analyzen=49K

Avg Length29 moves

Sharpness97%

Draw Rate2.9%

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 55.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.6% and 55.4%), based on 49K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 47%

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Rapid (52%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+	—	—	—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (924 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (1,805 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (1,265 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 74.2% expected score (13 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,459 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (2,668 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (955 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (54 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (2,045 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (4,370 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (1,372 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (38 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (101 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (2,692 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (5,163 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (1,964 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (68 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.6% expected score (82 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (3,520 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (4,725 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (1,851 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (49 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (36 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (3,202 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (3,088 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (938 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (2,130 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (1,258 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (221 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (986 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (189 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (27 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (92 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 22.8% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent

Center Game

53.6%

Variations (5)

Center Game: Berger Variation

50.7%

Center Game: Charousek Variation

46.8%

Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit

51.1%

Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation

47.6%

Center Game: Hall Variation

48.4%

Continuations (1)

Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit, Schippler Gambit

55.8%

Analyze Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate?

The Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 49K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit perform best?

The Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (10K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.8%) outperforms Classical (53.2%) by 1.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit?

The Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.5%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.7%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.1%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.4%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 56.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-60.7%) win rate for white (320 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.4%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.7%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.7%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-58.7%) win rate for white (223 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

Is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit a good opening?

The Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.

What is the Center Game: Lanc-Arnold Gambit expected score for White?