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Blumenfeld Countergambit

4 variations · 37K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · Overall

49.0%

45%55%
Floor48.5%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.4%.

Measured over 37K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 37K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
#26 of 62
Games in this context
37K
Best context
53.5% at 1600-1799 Bullet
Worst context
44.7% at 2500+ Blitz
Variations measured
4
Average game length
34 moves

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 45.4% at 0-999, 39.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (113 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (203 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (367 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (94 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (537 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (896 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (240 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,177 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (3,512 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (540 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (2,176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (8,194 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,070 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (3,581 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (9,809 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (798 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (1,813 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,834 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.4% expected score (79 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

4 variations · ranked by floor

Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

1
Blumenfeld Countergambit23K games
49.9%Floor 49.4%
2
Blumenfeld Countergambit Accepted9.2K games
48.8%Floor 48.0%
3
Blumenfeld Countergambit: Spielmann Variation335 games
49.9%Floor 45.4%
Blumenfeld Countergambit: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation4.5K games
44.2%Floor 43.0%
Analyze Blumenfeld Countergambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Blumenfeld Countergambit family scores 49.0% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.5% and 49.4% — from 37K Lichess games across 4 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
37K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blumenfeld Countergambit win rate?

Across the Blumenfeld Countergambit's 4 variations, Black wins 46.7%, draws 4.4% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 37K rated games from Lichess.

How many Blumenfeld Countergambit variations are there?

4 Blumenfeld Countergambit variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.

At what rating does the Blumenfeld Countergambit perform best?

The Blumenfeld Countergambit family performs best for Black at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 52.7% (1.7K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Blumenfeld Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Blumenfeld Countergambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 48.5% in Blitz (25K games) against 49.1% in Rapid (2.8K games).

How sharp is the Blumenfeld Countergambit?

Blumenfeld Countergambit games are 95.6% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 34 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Blumenfeld Countergambit a good opening family?

The Blumenfeld Countergambit family is about level overall. Across its games, Black wins 46.7% and loses 48.8%. Results differ between its 4 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.