TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack

38K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.5%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 48.9%Based on 38K games
0%48.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.9%3.2%49.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bc4
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack
Analyzen=38K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 48.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 48.9%), based on 38K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -3.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~46%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (800 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.9% win rate (1,984 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.4% win rate (3,178 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.2% win rate (4,974 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.7% win rate (6,706 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.7% win rate (8,416 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.2% win rate (7,415 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.5% win rate (3,944 games)
  • 2500+: 45.7% win rate (591 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (52%), worst in Rapid (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.9% win rate (25 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (13,929 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (17,429 games)
  • Rapid: 45.8% win rate (6,438 games)
  • Classical: 52.3% win rate (187 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (175 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (444 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (180 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (377 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (1,080 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (525 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (624 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (1,587 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (941 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (1,013 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (2,520 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (1,376 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,809 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (3,226 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (1,608 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (61 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (2,679 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (4,503 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (1,191 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (3,614 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (3,251 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (541 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (3,061 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (804 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (76 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (577 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit
48.0%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit
50.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Diemer-Rosenberg Attack
47.8%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Fritz Attack
46.2%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit
44.4%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation
45.9%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 38K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 47.2% win rate for white (7.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.4%) outperforms Rapid (45.8%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 45.5% (90% CI: 42.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 800 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 47.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 45.7% (90% CI: 42.3%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 591 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.6%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.9%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 46.3%-58.2%) win rate for white (187 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Zeller Defense, Soller Attack is statistically balanced with a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.