TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score53.0%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 53.6%Based on 19K games
0%53.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%4.5%44.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...c5
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense
Analyzen=19K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 53.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 53.6%), based on 19K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.6 · Trap factor: +28.1 · n=19K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.7% win rate (193 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.0% win rate (396 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.4% win rate (707 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.5% win rate (1,278 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (2,255 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (4,042 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (4,749 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.7% win rate (4,110 games)
  • 2500+: 50.6% win rate (774 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.2% win rate (138 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (9,651 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (6,967 games)
  • Rapid: 50.9% win rate (1,694 games)
  • Classical: 42.3% win rate (54 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (55 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (109 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (127 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (183 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (85 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (255 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (310 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (139 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (448 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (563 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (246 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (849 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (980 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (367 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,520 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (2,039 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (431 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (2,426 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (1,998 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (300 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (3,252 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (737 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (97 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (719 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (48 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted
50.9%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense
46.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Kloss Attack
47.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack
50.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack
47.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Studier Attack
52.0%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.0% win rate for white (396 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (42.3%) by 8.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 193 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 57.0% (90% CI: 52.9%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 396 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 52.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 707 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.9%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 47.7%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 774 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 39.3%-53.2%) win rate for white (138 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.4%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.8%) win rate for white (9.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.3%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-52.9%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Kaulich Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.